Want to know if you should lock in? UrbanDigs says... BUT.. Before you pick up the phone and call your mortgage broker read what UrbanDigs also has to say about "Why lower rates might not be good". Nobody can explain the housing market as well as Noah from UrbanDigs can. His twist and correlation between the interest rates and the unemployment rates was explained on "street level".
I want to stress some important comments that Noah said:
"So lets break that down. If the economy is starting to weaken, than stock prices will reflect that early on with a selloff. Since the stock market is a leading indicator of the economy, it will be the first to show signs that trouble might be ahead. Assuming this happens, paper profits and consumer portfolio values will restrict making people feel less confident and less wealthy. As this occurs, there will start to be talk of a fed rate cut as Ben Bernanke and company attempt to put a floor on how bad things might get."
You might be asking "So, the rates might go down, thats a good thing isn't it?" Not really, Like Noah states:
"As the fed cuts rates, it is because the economy is getting worse. The more they cut, the worse off things really are and the more in need of stimulation to prevent things from getting real bad. While interest rates and lending rates might dip a bit, it will come at the expense of restricting wealth effect due to falling stock prices and job losses."
I know that in the past I have always looked at the housing market to have a direct cause and effect to the unemployment rates. If the unemployment is high - the market is down and visa versa. I can not claim that I am as savvy as Noah when it comes to the explaining the real estate market with relation to the stock market or the unemployment rates. I just know that one has to do with the other and it is a chain of effects.
My take on Noah's article is that in the next few short months, the "Corporate World" will start to tighten up their overhead and by doing this it means to lighten up their payroll, making the unemployment rate rise and the economy as a whole will become conservative and spending will become tighter. So, even though the intrest rates might take a dip, it means nothing if you don't have an income. Am I right to think this?
What other sources say:
The Real Deal - Volatile Dow unlikely to hurt housing
True Gotham: Making Sense of the NYC Real Estate Market
What does Barbara Corcoran have to say about the market? (Via Sellisus)
Curbed asked last week "Is there a Frenzy in the market?" (here is the link again, just in case you missed it last week).
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